2015 Season results for Albuquerque Academy (BV,5-5A)

1   1   1
Rank in
State, Class, District
1495     182
Strength     Momentum
1250   70.4(1)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  21W   1L   1T 
District  6W   0L   0T 
Expected  21:   0+   2- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/25/15 Rio Grande 0.000943W 5- 0 Expected (-1)1462 98%
08/27/15 Sandia 0.0001278T 2- 2 Worse (-2)1377 84%
08/29/15 Cleveland 0.0001236W 3- 2 Expected (-2)1406 87%
09/02/15 at Albuquerque 0.0011422W 1- 0 Expected (0)1519 59%
09/04/15 at La Cueva ?? 0.0011305L 0- 3 Worse (-5)1259 77%
09/10/15 Hope Christian 0.0051088W 2- 0 Expected (-2)1382 95%
09/11/15 Los Alamos 0.0061300W 2- 0 Expected (0)1488 82%
09/12/15 Farmington 0.0061250W 3- 0 Expected (0)1514 87%
09/15/15 Los Alamos !! 0.0051300W 6- 0 Expected (+4)1692 82%
09/17/15 at Atrisco Heritage 0.0141350W 2- 0 Expected (+1)1532 71%
09/19/15 at Rio Rancho 0.0221315W 1- 0 Expected (-1)1465 76%
09/26/15 at Albuquerque 0.0601422W 1- 0 Expected (0)1519 59%
10/03/15 Highland 0.012917W 10- 0 Expected (+4)1717 99%
10/06/15 at Grants 0.012588W 10- 0 Expected (+1)1571 99%
10/08/15 St. Pius ! 0.1041071W 7- 1 Expected (+2)1578 95%
10/13/15 Moriarty 0.052981W 9- 0 Expected (+4)1693 97%
10/15/15 Grants 0.037588W 10- 0 Expected (+1)1552 99%
10/17/15 Farmington 0.4661250W 2- 0 Expected (-1)1463 87%
10/22/15 at Moriarty 0.159981W 8- 1 Expected (+2)1605 97%
10/24/15 at St. Pius 0.5451071W 3- 0 Expected (-1)1443 94%
11/05/15 * Chaparral 0.561972W 6- 1 Expected (0)1477 97%
11/06/15 * Farmington 0.8301250W 3- 0 Expected (0)1514 85%
11/07/15 * Los Alamos 0.9311300W 2- 0 Expected (0)1488 80%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Albuquerque Academy actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 1250, while
Albuquerque Academy's "weighted playing strength" is 1495
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)

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