1 1 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1495 182 Strength Momentum |
1250 70.4(1) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/25/15 | Rio Grande | 0.000 | 943 | W 5- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1462 | 98% | |
08/27/15 | Sandia | 0.000 | 1278 | T 2- 2 | Worse (-2) | 1377 | 84% | |
08/29/15 | Cleveland | 0.000 | 1236 | W 3- 2 | Expected (-2) | 1406 | 87% | |
09/02/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.001 | 1422 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1519 | 59% | |
09/04/15 | at La Cueva ?? | 0.001 | 1305 | L 0- 3 | Worse (-5) | 1259 | 77% | |
09/10/15 | Hope Christian | 0.005 | 1088 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-2) | 1382 | 95% | |
09/11/15 | Los Alamos | 0.006 | 1300 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1488 | 82% | |
09/12/15 | Farmington | 0.006 | 1250 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 1514 | 87% | |
09/15/15 | Los Alamos !! | 0.005 | 1300 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1692 | 82% | |
09/17/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.014 | 1350 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1532 | 71% | |
09/19/15 | at Rio Rancho | 0.022 | 1315 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1465 | 76% | |
09/26/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.060 | 1422 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1519 | 59% | |
10/03/15 | Highland | 0.012 | 917 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1717 | 99% | |
10/06/15 | at Grants | 0.012 | 588 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1571 | 99% | |
10/08/15 | St. Pius ! | 0.104 | 1071 | W 7- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1578 | 95% | |
10/13/15 | Moriarty | 0.052 | 981 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1693 | 97% | |
10/15/15 | Grants | 0.037 | 588 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1552 | 99% | |
10/17/15 | Farmington | 0.466 | 1250 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1463 | 87% | |
10/22/15 | at Moriarty | 0.159 | 981 | W 8- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1605 | 97% | |
10/24/15 | at St. Pius | 0.545 | 1071 | W 3- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1443 | 94% | |
11/05/15 | * Chaparral | 0.561 | 972 | W 6- 1 | Expected (0) | 1477 | 97% | |
11/06/15 | * Farmington | 0.830 | 1250 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 1514 | 85% | |
11/07/15 | * Los Alamos | 0.931 | 1300 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1488 | 80% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Albuquerque Academy actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1250, while
Albuquerque Academy's "weighted playing strength" is 1495
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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